February 26, 2024

Will Michigan jump to the top?

The big question as the College Football Playoff selection committee unveiled its rankings Tuesday night: Would we see a new No. 1?

The answer was ultimately no, because Georgia remained number 1, followed by number 2 MichiganNo. 3 Washington and No. 4 State of Florida. State of Ohiowhich lost to Michigan on Saturday, fell to No. 6, behind No. 5 Oregon.

I shared my thoughts on the rankings with a special live episode of “The Number One College Football Show,” which you can watch here.

With the latest CFP rankings, there is a very clear delineation between the teams that can simply win their respective conference championships, and the teams that need to win and get some help as well.

Let’s see.

Win and you’re in… probably

No. No. 1 Georgia, No. 2 Michigan, No. 3 Washington and No. 4 Florida State should all make the CFP with wins.

I wish the CFP committee wouldn’t relegate any of these teams for simply winning a league title – no matter how close the final score is. Not only would they be a Power 5 champion, but a 13-0 champion.

Michigan will battle Iowa for the Big Ten crown

Michigan will battle Iowa for the Big Ten crown

But CFP Chairman Boo Corrigan didn’t exactly throw loud support in FSU’s direction.

“You know, they’re a different team. It’s pretty clear, with Jordan Travis not playing and Tate Rodemaker playing, they’re a different team, just like anyone would be if they lost their quarterback in that situation,” Corrigan said. “But they were able to win in Gainesville. They scored 24 points. The defense gave up 13. There was a safety.

“We are only evaluating it at this point where they are all season long with the body of work, while it is a topic of discussion, as it should be, as injuries should be at this point, and the availability of players, if you will, it’s a big part of the conversation.”

ACC Title Game Preview: Louisville vs. Florida State

ACC Title Game Preview: Louisville vs.  Florida State

Please help us

No. No. 5 Oregon, No. 7 Texas and No. 8 Alabama must win their respective conference title games to have a chance to be selected to the CFP. But that’s the only thing these programs have in common with the top four, as the committee sees their rankings so far.

However, Oregon and Alabama are in a much better position to earn entry, as they would both need to beat a 12-0 foe.

The Ducks will also have a chance to avenge their only loss of the regular season against UW on Friday night. It is clear not only from the rankings, but also from Corrigan’s comments that the committee appreciated Oregon’s home win against Oregon State last weekend.

Oregon was favored against undefeated Washington in the Pac-12 title game

Oregon was favored against undefeated Washington in the Pac-12 title game

“Oregon in particular continues to impress,” he said, “with a win over Oregon State, holding a team to seven points, which is an average of 34 points. Again, much respect to Ohio State as the No. 6 seed. very good team, but To your point, it’s a one-possession game on the road, but the committee ranked Oregon fifth and Ohio State sixth.

Most believe the Ducks have looked like the better team since their 36-33 loss at Seattle in Week 7. A win for the Ducks won’t guarantee a spot in the CFP, but itold is enough to simply slide the Ducks into the CFP spot at No. 3 or No. 4.

The Tide are in a similar position. With a win against Georgia on Saturday, no one, especially this CFP committee, will care much that Alabama lost to Texas in Tuscaloosa earlier this season. Stopping the two-time defending national champions in the middle of a 29-game winning streak would be more than enough for a 12-1 SEC champion to gain entry into the CFP – perhaps even as a No. 1 seed.

Texas is in a tough spot entering the Big 12 title game

Texas is in a tough spot entering the Big 12 title game

Give us chaos

Among those who still have a shot at making the CFP — provided upsets reign in the Pac-12, SEC and ACC title games — are Texas and Ohio State.

The Longhorns must beat No. 18 Oklahoma State to qualify, and a win won’t so much clinch them as keep them in the conversation. Texas needs to decisively win its first Big 12 title since 2009 to impress the committee and remind everyone that this is the team that beat Alabama in Tuscaloosa. And an Alabama win over Georgia wouldn’t hurt Texas feelings at all.

But at least the Longhorns have a chance to add a conference title to their resume. Of these eight contenders, only the Buckeyes will be at home this weekend. They will be looking for carnage to have a chance to play in their second straight CFP without A) beating Michigan in the regular season, B) making a conference title game.

For the Buckeyes to get the pass to the CFP, Texas, Oregon, Florida State and Alabama all have to lose their games this weekend. That could allow them to join Georgia, Michigan and Washington in the CFP.

Ohio State drops to No. 6 in the CFP rankings

Ohio State drops to No. 6 in the CFP rankings

The College Football Playoff rankings as of November 28.

  1. Georgia (12-0)
  2. Michigan (12-0)
  3. Washington (12-0)
  4. State of Florida (12-0)
  5. Oregon (11-1)
  6. State of Ohio (11-1)
  7. Texas (11-1)
  8. Alabama (11-1)
  9. Missouri (10-2)
  10. Penn State (10-2)
  11. Ole ma’am (10-2)
  12. Oklahoma (10-2)
  13. LSU (9-3)
  14. Louisville (10-2)
  15. Arizona (9-3)
  16. Iowa (10-2)
  17. Notre Dame (9-3)
  18. State of Oklahoma (9-3)
  19. NC State (9-3)
  20. State of Oregon (8-4)
  21. Tennessee (8-4)
  22. Tulan (11-1)
  23. Clemson (8-4)
  24. Freedom (12-0)
  25. Kansas State (8-4)

More about the College Football Playoffs rankings

Tuesday’s reveal was the fifth of six rankings announcements, with the final Top 25 set to be revealed on Sunday morning.

The top four teams will compete in the CFP semifinals, which will be held Jan. 1 at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, California, and the Sugar Bowl in New Orleans. The national championship game will be held on January 8 in Houston.

College Football Rankings remaining 2023 schedule

  • Sunday, December 3: 12:00 PM ET (Selection Sunday)

RJ Young is a National College Football writer and analyst for FOX Sports and the host of the podcast “The number one college football show.Follow him on Twitter @RJ_Young And subscribe to “The RJ Young Show” on YouTube.

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